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โ† Reading the Chart ยท lesson 7 of 10

RSI, the Overworked Horse Gauge

There's a little gauge under the chart that works like checking whether a horse has been run too hard. Fancy folks call it RSI and make it sound like calculus, but tonight you'll see it's closer to common sense.

By the end of this one you'll know what RSI measures, what people mean when they say overbought and oversold, and why a high reading is never a promise.

The lesson

RSI stands for Relative Strength Index, which is a fancy name for a simple gauge that runs from 0 to 100. All it really measures is how the recent up days compare to the recent down days, how hard the price has been running and in which direction. I think of it like judging a horse that's been worked all week. When RSI climbs above 70, folks say overbought, meaning the horse has been galloping uphill a long while without a rest. When it drops below 30, they say oversold, the horse has been driven down hard and long. But a strong horse can run tired far longer than you'd ever guess, so a high reading is not a stop sign and a low reading is not a starting gun. The gauge describes the run behind you, never the road ahead.

Walk the $100

Same lesson, told by a hundred dollar bill. Tap to walk it one step at a time.

In this example, a coin runs from $100 to $140 in one week, so $100 became $140, and the RSI gauge now reads 82, up in what folks call overbought.

That number does not order the price to fall.

Sometimes a run like that cools off and the $140 slides back toward $125, and other times the horse keeps galloping and $140 becomes $160.

The gauge measured the sprint that already happened, not the one that might come next.

At your kitchen table

You're in the mechanic's waiting room staring at a $480 estimate for the van. Your app pings: the coin you've watched climb all month now reads RSI 78, overbought, and the man in the next chair glances over and says that means a crash is coming.

Pick your move. Then peek at the other roads if you're curious.

Quiz yourself

๐Ÿ“ Got a question about this one? Ask it on the live at 7 AM or 7 PM Mountain, TikTok @247candles. Steven answers class questions by name.
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